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引用马修·格林的话

原文标题 · Quoting Matthew Green

每个人都非常关心自己的受人尊敬,所以我将成为一个提出最坏情况可能性的傻瓜。我认为我们有1%的可能性生活在Minicrypt中,15%的可能性我们对现有的公钥加密算法失去信心。[...]这里的问题是,人工智能产生惊喜的速度与人类取代标准的速度(即使有最好的人工智能协助)只是数量级的差异。只有提前做好准备,你才能从这样的惊喜中恢复过来。- 马修·格林,在推特上。我查了一下然后M

来源:Simon Willison · simonwillison.net

正文为英文,可一键机器翻译(仅首次需要等待)

Simon Willison’s Weblog

Everyone is very concerned about being respectable, so I’m going to be the goofball who raises worst-case possibilities. I think there is a 1% chance we live in Minicrypt, and a 15% chance we functionally lose confidence in our existing public-key encryption algorithms. [...] The problem here is that the speed of AI producing surprises, and the speed of human beings replacing standards (even with the very best AI assistance) are just orders of magnitude different. You only recover from a surprise like this if you do the preparation in advance.

— Matthew Green , on Twitter. I looked it up and Minicrypt is Russell Impagliazzo’s hypothetical world in which public-key encryption is impossible.

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This is a quotation collected by Simon Willison, posted on 9th October 2026 .