Right Answer, Wrong Reasons: AI Forecasts Costco - Hassan El Mghari & Omar El Mghari, Together AI
An AI-generated Costco forecast came within 4.4% on the reported measure, yet an auditor found that two faulty assumptions had offset each other.
📌 One-Sentence Summary AI 生成的 Costco 预测在报告指标上误差约为 4.4%,但审计发现,两个错误假设的影响恰好抵消。 📝 Summary Hassan 和 Omar El Mghari 用 Costco 的会员涨价检验 AI 财务预测。团队从 214 份财报提取约 3,000 条带时间信息的事实,请开放权重模型生成可执行公式,再通过工程检查筛选 16 次并行建模的
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An AI-generated Costco forecast came within 4.4% on the reported measure, yet an auditor found that two faulty assumptions had offset each other.